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    Poultry Business – October 2025 issue out now

    By Chloe RyanOctober 13, 2025
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Business & Politics

Grocery price inflation edges up ahead of autumn budget

Chloe RyanBy Chloe RyanOctober 8, 20243 Mins Read
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pic credit: Lidl
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Grocery price inflation increased slightly to 2.0% during the four weeks to 29 September, up from 1.7% last month, according to the latest data from Kantar. Take-home sales at the grocers grew by 2.0% over the same period.

The findings, which come ahead of the Chancellor’s autumn budget, showed that spending on promoted items continued to rise, climbing by 7.4% in September as households sought to manage their finances.  By comparison, full price sales nudged up by 0.3%.  Despite the annual rate of grocery inflation growing, the contest between the grocers to attract shoppers through their doors has seen prices roll back on some essentials.

Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar, said: “In the fiercely competitive retail sector, the battle for value is on.  Supermarkets are doing what they can to keep costs down for consumers and thanks to their efforts the prices in some categories are falling.  The average price paid for toilet and kitchen roll is 6% lower year-on-year, for example, while dog and cat food are 4% and 3% cheaper respectively.”

With spending still stretched, people are having to make decisions about what they can afford, with more consumers reporting that they are struggling to balance environmental concerns with their own financial worries.  59% of Britons now say they’re finding it harder to act sustainably, up from 44% last year.

Britain’s biggest supermarket Tesco achieved its largest share since December 2017.  It now takes 28.0% of the market, up from 27.4% one year ago.  Sainsbury’s’ sales increased by 5.1%, with its market share stepping up 0.4 percentage points to 15.2%.  Asda’s hold of the market is now 12.6%.

Ocado was the fastest growing grocer for the eighth month running, pushing its sales up by 10.0% over the latest 12 weeks.  The online specialist’s market share grew by 0.1 percentage points to 1.8%.  The overall online market expanded by 3.5% over the 12 weeks, now worth £3.7 billion, with 22.1% of households shopping online.

Spending through Lidl’s tills climbed by 8.8%, with the discounter adding 0.5 percentage points to its share of the market – bringing it to 8.1%.  Sales at Aldi, Britain’s fourth largest retailer, account for 9.8% of spending at the grocers.  Meanwhile Morrisons makes up 8.6% of the market, the same proportion as a year ago.

Both Waitrose and Iceland’s market share held steady at 4.6% and 2.2% respectively.  Convenience retailer Co-Op now has a 5.9% share.

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Chloe Ryan

Editor of Poultry Business, Chloe has spent the past decade writing about the food industry from farming, through manufacturing, retail and foodservice. When not working, dog walking and reading biographies are her favourite hobbies.

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